Darling blends a tax backlash
We can all make mistakes, but it seems Alistair Darling has already had two embarrassing ones in the volumes of pre-Budget report documentation.
How many more to follow?
There was the 18.5% VAT tax rate scheduled to be introduced in 2010-11, but which should - we are told - not have been printed, as the idea was considered and then discarded.
And now it is clear the whisky duty is set for a speedy U-turn. The idea was to cut VAT from 17.5% to 15% from next week until the end of next year.
For alcohol - as with petrol and tobacco - duty is to be increased equal to the cut. Hence, a neutral effect, but no word on whether the duty comes down again after 13 months.
The actual impact on Scotch was not what we were told was the intention. Down came the VAT, but the duty went up, by a net 29p per bottle.
And with very little revenue benefit, Chancellor Alistair Darling has realised there is far too much political pain in this.
The whisky lobby is a formidable one, and Labour's opponents are quick to back it.
So we're learning tonight we can expect an imminent revision to the statutory provisions behind next week's VAT changes which are being sped through parliament this week.
The uncharitable (and I know you're out there) might think this was the Chancellor imposing a wee stealth tax on Scotch and hoping no-one noticed.
My guess (being reasonably charitable) is that, in constructing a £20bn package to counter-attack the recession, while plunging us all into unimaginably large debt, his eye may have been off the Scotch whisky ball.
The Treasury seems to have taken the average strength of a measure of spirits across off-sales and on-sales, and come up with its increase per bottle.
But as Scotch is slightly stronger than other spirits, at 40% proof, and heavily weighted towards off-sales, those two elements conspired through Treasury calculations to hit the whisky industry hardest.
Privately, meanwhile, there are government grumbles that the help to whisky exports from the recent weakening of sterling, particularly against the US dollar, should be far more use to it than minor adjustments on tax in Britain.
In researching the story earlier today, I have found out Some Interesting Facts. For instance, exports account for 90% of whisky production - up in value but down in volume terms over the first nine months of the year.
In Britain, around 80% of sales are in-off sales and 80% of sales are of blended whisky instead of single malts.
And in the final eight weeks of the year in Britain, 30% of blended whisky off-sales take place and 40% of single malts, which helps explain why there is such sensitivity on the duty hike.
For anyone wondering about my Christmas, it's single malt for me - but not much. I'm mildly allergic to the stuff. An Interesting Fact you could possibly live without.
Comment number 1.
At 26th Nov 2008, Barbazenzero wrote:Let's hope Capt. Darling eats a large slice of humble pie over his "miswrite" in the emergency debate in the House of Cards today. Perhaps somebody would have spent their time better doing some proof-reading over the week-end instead of spinning the "good" bits to the media in the (unrequited?) hope of getting the public to believe his package will make a difference.
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Comment number 2.
At 26th Nov 2008, BrianSH wrote:Looks like our government can now accurately be dubbed the 'Bust Brown and 'Disaster Darling Show!
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Comment number 3.
At 26th Nov 2008, OWN-GOAL wrote:This comment was removed because the moderators found it broke the house rules. Explain.
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Comment number 4.
At 26th Nov 2008, tdickson wrote:Also he has put up a bottle of wine - at least the 90% that are sold under £5.99 a bottle. Duty is on volume, VAT is on Value. Apples and Pears.
And will the supermarkets take the benefit of the VAT decrease, yet pass the duty increase back to their suppliers?
It's not like the wine trade have anything better to do at this time of year, nor will their customers need a further excuse to hold up payment when these bills become due. Watch for a few Wine Merchant receiverships in February / March.
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Comment number 5.
At 26th Nov 2008, oldnat wrote:That's better Douglas.
You've given a clear explanation of how the Treasury operates - incompetently!
All ministers depend on the analysis provided by their Civil Servants, and this shoddy work may give a clue as to why the UK economy has become such a basket case.
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Comment number 6.
At 26th Nov 2008, chriskeene wrote:The rise in duty is not an 'offset'.
It would be an offset if it was temporary, like the VAT reduction it is meant to be offsetting.
Look at the last sentence here.
"As set out in more detail in Chapter 5, alcohol and tobacco duties will be increased
to offset the effects of the temporary reduction in VAT. Maintaining these increases after
December 2009 will further support fiscal consolidation."
[Unsuitable/Broken URL removed by Moderator]
It is not an offset, it is a future tax rise!
Chris Keene
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Comment number 7.
At 26th Nov 2008, kaybraes wrote:Considering Brown and the eyebrows have let the value of the pound drop by something like 20% against the dollar and the euro, 29p extra tax is unlikely to wreck whisky exports. However like the future plans for raising VAT without telling anybody, until someone inadvertantly slipped it out ,the whole episode demonstrates the incompetence and deceitfulness of Nu Labour. How many other sneak taxes are hidden away in the documents that aren't being published, to be slipped out at some opportune moment in the future by one of the sycophants in Browns entourage?
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Comment number 8.
At 27th Nov 2008, seannair wrote:And these are the people that insist that we cannot look after our own business.
Knaves or fools -I ask you. Incompetent on the whisky issue and utterly devious on the VAT adjustments. And yet, according to the media, the stock and reputation of Gordon Brown has risen considerably since the hideous problems that he is party to creating have emerged.
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Comment number 9.
At 28th Dec 2008, dennisjunior1 wrote:Douglas:
Darling will be trying to find money in increasing taxes....
~Dennis Junior~
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