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Copenhagen diary: Wednesday 16 December 2009

Susan Watts | 16:00 UK time, Wednesday, 16 December 2009

It has been a scene of chaos outside and inside the Bella Centre today.
Hundreds of protestors converged on the building from early this morning, determined to get past police lines and enter the UN area to form a "people's assembly". We filmed with various groups as they walked to the centre and asked what they hoped to achieve.

copenhagen2_226.jpgThey told me they think the talks here at Copenhagen are ignoring the wishes of indigenous people, and that rich voices are drowning those from the poor. They have an anti-capitalist position, and see no role for governments or corporations in any deal because they are putting profit ahead of what they call "climate justice".

It wasn't just the protesters who were upset. Hundreds of people signed up to attend from NGOs were turned away by the UN, and staged sit-down protests of their own.

copenhagen1_226.jpgIn the meantime, police vans drove very close to the marchers, who kept asking them to move back, with shouts of "we are peaceful, what are you?" At around 11.30am, the atmosphere became more tense. Marchers had congregated in the main street in front of the centre, and police from either end moved in to contain them.

Then the chaos INSIDE began too. Reports started to come through that Connie Hedegaard, the Danish environment minister presiding over the talks, had resigned and that Prime Minister Rasmussen had taken over. It sounded dramatic, and news that she'd stepped down spread so fast into the febrile mood here that environment groups swiftly began to read this as a sign that the more "radical" Connie had been sacked.

It turned out that this handover was always planned, as the talks move into the high level, ministerial sessions at this end of this week. But the announcement had been badly handled, in character with much of the organisation here.

So what of the substance of the talks? These, apparently went on until 5am, with reports that US involvement had not been helpful. Numbers in the text had apparently been replaced with "xxx's" again, and by the time the demonstration had reached the centre's gates BOTH tracks were stalled - those on the possible continuation of the Kyoto Protocol beyond 2012, and those on the Copenhagen "agreement" itself.

The so-called Danish text - a fall back - had been parachuted in, but Africa and others were not happy. The words "crisis" and "collapse" are now starting to be used.

The Ethiopian leader, Meles Zenawi, proposed a finance deal in the main plenary session backed by Gordon Brown and Nicolas Sarkozy, with much of the money to be raised by new taxes on aviation and shipping, and an innovative global tax on all financial transactions - known as a Tobin tax.

Mr Zenawi also wants a commitment to long-term finance, to 2020, above and beyond the $30bn "fast start" money for the next three years. He acknowledged that many in Africa would not be happy with this, but urged the group to strike a bargain.

He said: "I know my proposal today will disappoint some Africans who from the point of view of justice have asked for full compensation for the damage done to our development prospects. My proposal scales back on expectations with regards to the level of funding in return for more reliable funding and a seat at the table in the management of any such fund.

"I believe there is an important underlying principle here. Africa loses more than most if there is no agreement on climate change. We lose more not only because our ecology is more fragile, but also because our best days are ahead of us and lack of agreement here could murder our future even before it is born.

"Because we have more to lose than others we have to be prepared to be flexible and prepared to go the extra mile to accommodate others," he said.

Today, even the deal to protect forests, which had been progressing relatively smoothly, was breaking down - "yo-yo-ing" was how one observer put it. The picture here is now shifting hour by hour.

Comments

  • Comment number 1.

    ..who from the point of view of justice have asked for full compensation for the damage done to our development prospects....

    basically everyone thought this was going to be a big pay day and now realise the bogus climate narrative that uses jedi mind trick words like rich and poor countries and climate 'justice' has been rumbled.

    the gold bath taps in the palaces will have to wait.

    funny how NN doesn't point out if they get to do all what they want this is going to cost everyone in the uk £100 of their fuel bills. mainly given to china.

    i see no justice in that.

  • Comment number 2.

    HAVE YOU ALTERED THAT EXPRIMENT SUSAN?

    Nip round to Ethical Man's house and tell him to demonstrate H2O in place of CO2. You know it makes sense.

  • Comment number 3.

    ... It is the responsibility of each human being today to choose between the force of darkness and the force of light. We must therefore transform our attitudes, and adopt a renewed respect for the superior laws of DIVINE NATURE.

    - Maurice Strong, former Secretary General of UNEP, opening speech of 1992 Rio Earth Summit


    .... Little by little a planetary prayer book is thus being composed by an increasingly united humanity seeking its oneness. Once again, but this time on a universal scale, humankind is seeking no less than its reunion with 'divine,' its transcendence into higher forms of life. Hindus call our earth Brahma, or God, for they rightly see no difference between our earth and the divine. This ancient simple truth is slowly dawning again upon humanity, as we are about to enter our cosmic age and become what we were always meant to be: the planet of god.

    - Robert Muller, former UN Assistant Secretary General, founder of UNESCO

    lots more juicy quotes here

  • Comment number 4.

    to quote the line in the vid

    'World domination. The same old dream. Our asylums are full of people who think they are Napoleon...or God'.

    Bond should be sent to Copenhagen.



  • Comment number 5.

    MY DIVINE NATURE IS APPARENT TO ALL ON THIS BLOG. (#3)

    ³ÉÈË¿ìÊÖ comes up with a subject and I divine a way to abuse it.

  • Comment number 6.

    i think we need to hear more from the 'planet of god' people susan.

  • Comment number 7.

    one of the quotes on the page above is

    ..we can be sure that the vast majority will not commit social and ecological suicide to enable the minority to preserve their privileges. However it is achieved, a thorough reorganisation of production, consumption and distribution will be the end result of humanity's response to the climate emergency...

    a thorough reorganisation of production, consumption and distribution?
    what 'minority' are they on about?

    can a comrade er i mean climate change campaigner tell me what that means? the bbc should know given the amount they promote it?

    are those who resist counter revolutionaires er i mean 'deniers' and flat earthers?

  • Comment number 8.

    The COP 15 has been badly managed by the Danish. It may be heading for a "failure" and I believe partly it is the Danish and their inner coterie to be blamed because of their two track approach - trying to push through a secretly agreed wordings - their draft. This has removed trust from such negotiations between the G77 and the developed countries and rightly so. Hedgegaard should have been thrown out early on not 3 days before the end of COP 15(I don't believe her departure was planned...). The world leaders should have come on day one and set out the agenda and then returned towards the last days to firm up the agreement not just appearing on the last day (to do what!!!).
    The next step is to get back to the real negotiations and without "disturbance" of the climate protestors. These should be allowed to protest in Netherlands while the governments decided on the agreement peacefully - this is a serious negotiation process not "climate tourism" for the protestors to cause disturbance. I wonder now, who funds these protests and if the donations given to the "green agencies" are being properly utilised??

  • Comment number 9.

    To my view M/s Suzan ,this climate isn't coursed by human being ,the world leader they have to acknowledge this.But we are living in the last day and world leader should know that by referring to the bible ,global warming has been predicted 200yrs ago that will be happened and now we see.They wont find the solution for global warming until Friday.the world should accept that our might God who created this entire world is coming very soon and this should happened,human being cannot solve this problem.

    People in africa they are starving until now but nothing has been solved since G7 ,THE WORLD LEADER ,they should go or sent the represantative in village to see people the way they safer,no food,no hospital,no road,no school,pupils they still sitting on the floor or dust,in poor infrusture.Corruption is big problem in Africa.My advice to world leader let us to help developing country by sending TX to build infrusture no t giving money.Hope the best on Friday but l hope no solution wil come on friday.HELP AFRICA ,HELP TANZANIA

  • Comment number 10.

    ALL THIS FUSS ABOUT HUMAN SURVIVAL

    The whole climate thing is contentious, but tobacco, alcohol and armaments kill - with varying degrees (geddit) of intermediate misery and degradation.

    Any chance the Miracle Team, currently working wonders in Copenhagen, will address the obvious?

    Thought not.

  • Comment number 11.

    I watched "Climate Wars" last night and, afterwards had trouble sleeping. Not because the "evidence" had convinced me, but because of a nagging doubt. I have always been fairly Green-minded and, raised my family without a car or air travel. However, it has always been the toxicity of modern life, rather than CO2 and Climate Change which has been my personal driver.
    The nagging doubt revolves around the use of paleo-dendrochronology within the argument. Measuring the width of a tree ring can certainly allow us to age/date a tree, by reference to comparitive data from other trees within the same ecosystem. Comparing the size of different annual rings is the means by which the comparison is acheived. Much the same as the manner in which astronomers used photo-spectrometery to discover Red Shift and, the fact that the Universe is expanding.
    However, it would appear that within the Climate Science debate guaging the age of a particular tree is as far as this evidence has been used. This raises several questions in my mind:

    1) Does, as the presenter of the programme and many climate scientists would have us believe, the width of an annual growth ring give us any clear indication of, ancient, past, or current temperatures? A vital point if assumptions about pre-eighteenth century/thermometer-recorded temperatures are being being deduced from tree ring dimensions.
    As I understand it, the only role that temperature actually plays in plant growth is the rate of moisture loss through transpiration. Hence, the coniferous needle type leaves of plants in climates too arid for desciduous woodlands. Certainly, trees do not prosper in perma-frost; but above 4 Celsius and in temperate climates, the only effect of temperature on trees and plants with xylem accretion is to limit the varieties that will grow to the available water supply.
    2) As I understand it, there are three fundamental variables which affect rates of photosynthesis and mass acquisition within a plant: the ready availability of sufficient water as mentioned above, the ready availability of sufficient atmospheric CO2 and, electromagnetic radiation of a suitable wavelength (important within plants posessing different leaf pigmentations). Above perma-frost levels and, beneath the temperature which would exhaust the water supply available, atmospheric temperature plays no part in the process.
    So. How can the width of an annual growth ring really be a reliable measure of atmospheric temperature, particularly from a period before reliable measures of temperature were made?
    3) If there was any material correlation between the width of growth rings within an extant tree of more than a century in age and, atmospheric CO2 levels; then, all other things being equal, one would expect the growth rings of the last decade to be nearly twice the width of those a century ago; given the figures for CO2 quoted in last night's programme. Personally, I have seen no data whatsoever to suggest this. Has anyone else? I very much doubt it.
    4) The one variable which seems to have been omitted from the discussion - light - does not necessarily have any correlation with either global average temperatures, or that in specific locations. Primarily because of the albedo effect of the atmosphere. Hence, there may be broad growth rings manifested in an area which has little cloud cover, but is further from the Equator than a tropical region, where cloud cover is dense (taking into account also the angle of incidence at which the Sun's rays hit the Earth's atmosphere).

    In short. If "The Hockeystick" is derived mainly from paleo-dendochronological data and, subsequently thermometer readings without reference to contemporary dendrochronological data; it is very likely to be imprecise at best and wildly inaccurate at worst!
    Like I said. I live my life as toxin-free as I can and, I feel that the CO2/Global Warming pudding has been ostrich-egged! It wasn't CO2 that rendered Lake Baikal uninhabitable. Nor did it do the same to the Thames or the Rhine in the previous century. If you wish to save the planet, don't go out buying solar-powered garden lights!

  • Comment number 12.

    #11 Harry

    Read your post. Please check 2).

    As far as I am aware CO2 is never a limiting factor in plant growth.





    I can follow all the rest. But increasing CO2 will not increase plant growth as all the other factors water, temperature etc will always be the limiting factor in plant growth. There is always sufficient CO2.

    Please reply if you want to take the discussion further.

    Celtic Lion

  • Comment number 13.

    12 Roger

    CO2 enrichment of glasshouses has been a standard practice in crop production for many years.

    Research funded by the British government many years ago, demonstrated that the yields of glasshouse lettuce could be increased by 30% by this method.

    97 experiments on carbon dioxide enrichment in the open indicated an increase in plant growth of 20% for the doubling of CO2 forecast for mid-century. By that time the world population will certainly need all the increased crop growth it can get.

    Let me know if you would like the references to the research papers.

  • Comment number 14.

    Anserinum

    I an understand the glasshouse situation and was aware of this. In high temperatures, high light, plentiful water, CO2 may become the limiting factor.

    From a pure ecological perspective I have no knowledge of increasing CO2 promoting plant growth as other factors always limit before CO2 does.

    If there are any references available I would be interested in just the odd one to read to see how they have arrived at the research/ conclusion.

  • Comment number 15.

    Roger

    The reference paper is "Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide: Plants FACE the future"

    In Ann. Rev. Plant Biol. 2004. 55:591-628

    "FACE" is "Free-air CO2 enrichment". The review includes reference to 222 papers published in refereed journals.

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